Michigan remains two spots out of BCS eligibility entering the last week of the regular season, but next weekend's games will likely move the Maize and Blue up.
View full sizeThe celebration is probably still going on in Ann Arbor, but Michigan still needs a little help to reach a BCS game for the holidays. COLUMBUS, Ohio -- Michigan isn't into a BCS bowl quite yet.
To be eligible for an at-large BCS selection, a team must finish in the top 14 of the BCS standings. Right now, the Wolverines are No. 16. But that's for now, as the path to the top 14 isn't very difficult.
No. 14 Georgia faces No. 1 LSU in the SEC title game and is expected to lose, obviously, but the Wolverines need to move up one other spot. No. 13 Michigan State and No. 15 Wisconsin will meet in the Big Ten title game, and expecting the loser to fall behind Michigan isn't necessarily assured, but likely. Too many voters will penalize the title game loser for the loss, even though, for instance, Michigan State beat Michigan head-to-head in a game that wound up determining the Legends Division winner. It may not be fair, but it's how it often works.
Since there is some doubt, Michigan should also root for No. 3 Oklahoma State to beat No. 10 Oklahoma, likely knocking what would be the three-loss Sooners behind Michigan as well.
If the Wolverines are eligible for a BCS bowl, they'll almost assuredly be picked. If Georgia beats LSU for the automatic SEC bid, and LSU and Alabama are still No. 1 and No. 2 and locked into the title game, the SEC would get three bids. But in every other case, conferences are limited to two bids. That will help Michigan here.
"I think we have a good football team," Michigan coach Brady Hoke said after Saturday's 40-34 win over Ohio State when asked about BCS possibilities. "Somebody else will make that decision."
Actually, the system will make most of the decision. While the Wolverines aren't in now, they should be by next week and ready to make their first Sugar Bowl appearance since losing to Bo Jackson's Auburn team, 9-7, on Jan. 2, 1984.
Source: http://www.cleveland.com/osu/index.ssf/2011/11/michigans_bcs_plans_await_one.html
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